Enabling conservation theories of change

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dc.contributor.authorChristina A. Buelow
dc.contributor.authorAnusha Rajkaran
dc.date.accessioned2025-10-29T11:12:39Z
dc.date.available2025-10-29T11:12:39Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractGlobal theories of change (ToCs), such as the post-2020 global biodiversity framework (GBF), provide broad, overarching guidance for achieving conservation goals. However, broad guidance cannot inform how conservation actions will lead to desired outcomes. We provide a framework for translating a globalscale ToC into focussed, ecosystem-specific ToCs that consider feasibility of actions, as determined by national socioeconomic and political context (i.e., enabling conditions). We demonstrate the framework using coastal wetland ecosystems as a case study. We identified six distinct multinational profiles of enabling conditions (‘enabling profiles’) for coastal wetland conservation. For countries belonging to enabling profiles with high internal capacity to enable conservation, we described plausible ToCs that involved strengthening policy and regulation. Alternatively, for enabling profiles with low internal enabling capacity, plausible ToCs typically required formalising community-led conservation. Our ‘enabling profile’ framework could be applied to other ecosystems to help operationalise the post-2020 GBF.
dc.identifier.citationBuelow, C.A., Connolly, R.M., Dunic, J.C., Griffiths, L., Holgate, B., Lee, S.Y., Mackey, B.G., Maxwell, P.S., Pearson, R.M., Rajkaran, A. and Sievers, M., 2024. Enabling conservation theories of change. Nature Sustainability, 7(1), pp.73-81.
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10566/21316
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherLondon: Nature Publishing Group UK
dc.subjectGlobal theories of change
dc.subjectGlobal biodiversity framework
dc.subjectVegetated coastal wetland ecosystems
dc.subjectSeagrass and saltmarsh
dc.subjectCoastal ecosystems
dc.titleEnabling conservation theories of change
dc.typeArticle

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