Browsing by Author "Zhang, Ruikang"

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    Assessing the impacts of water diversion project on water resource system sustainability
    (John Wiley and Sons Inc, 2025) Liu, Dedi; Chen, Wen; Zhang, Ruikang
    Interbasin water diversion project has been considered as an effective way to assure water resource system sustainability. In order to assess the impacts of water diversion on sustainability, we propose a framework in terms of reliability, resilience, and vulnerability. The estimated water availability from hydrological models and the projected water demand are input to a water resource allocation model. The water resource allocation model allocates the two available water sources (i.e., the local and the diverted water) in the water-receiving areas. The differences of the allocated water resources between these two water sources are figured out to quantify the impacts of water diversion on water resource system sustainability. The water-receiving area of Bailong River Water Diversion Project, located in Gansu, China, was selected as a case study. The results show that compared to the reference planning years, the runoff in future planning years will be reduced, while their water demands will almost increase under all scenarios. Although the current designed water diversion scheme is effective in increasing resilience, there is still potential for increasing resilience through optimizing the designed scheme. Further, the more unfavorable the water supply and demand conditions are, the larger the space for optimizing the system sustainability. This study can help understand the impacts of water diversion on water resource system sustainability in a changing environment.
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    Personal factors influencing emergency evacuation decisions under different flash flood characteristics
    (Springer Science and Business Media B.V., 2024) Zhang, Ruikang; Liu, Dedi; Xu, Yongxin
    Emergency evacuation has received more attention as an effective tool of flash flood disaster prevention that calls for systematic thinking rooted in natural and social sciences. Although personal factors influencing emergency evacuation decisions (EED) after receiving a flood warning have been widely discussed, few studies have referred this issue to the flash flood characteristics. This study explored the personal factors influencing EED under different flash flood characteristics (i.e., the frequency, occurrence time, and severity of flash floods) through field survey data. Three typical flash flood characteristics in three towns were selected as case studies. An ordinary logistical model and path analysis were used to analyze the independent influence and influence process of the personal factors on evacuation intention under the three flash flood characteristics. The results showed that personalized risk perception and warning type consistently influenced evacuation intention regardless of the flash flood characteristics, while the independent influence of flood experience and reliance on hazard information on evacuation intention was varied with the flash flood characteristics. Perceived exposure influenced evacuation intention through the mediations of flood experience when there were high-frequency, recent, and loss-causing flash floods, and of risk perception when there were low-frequency, distant, and few-loss-causing flash floods.