Browsing by Author "Van der Stocken, Tom"
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Item Dispersal and coastal geomorphology limit potential for mangrove range expansion under climate change(Wiley, 2022) Raw, Jacqueline L.; Van der Stocken, Tom; Rajkaran, AnushaLatitudinal range limits for mangroves on high-energy, wave-dominated coasts are controlled by geomorphological features and estuarine dynamics. Mangroves reach a southern global range limit along the South African coastline, but the distribution is patchy, with stands occurring in only 16% of the estuaries in the region. Yet, the persistence of forests planted >50 years ago beyond the natural distribution limit suggests that additional estuaries could support mangroves. Understanding regional drivers is necessary to inform global-scale estimates for how this important ecosystem is predicted to respond to climate change.