Raw, Jacqueline L.Van der Stocken, TomRajkaran, Anusha2023-04-142023-04-142022Raw, J. L. et al. (2022). Dispersal and coastal geomorphology limit potential for mangrove range expansion under climate change. Journal of Ecology, 111(1)139-155. 10.1111/1365-2745.140201365-274510.1111/1365-2745.14020http://hdl.handle.net/10566/8791Latitudinal range limits for mangroves on high-energy, wave-dominated coasts are controlled by geomorphological features and estuarine dynamics. Mangroves reach a southern global range limit along the South African coastline, but the distribution is patchy, with stands occurring in only 16% of the estuaries in the region. Yet, the persistence of forests planted >50 years ago beyond the natural distribution limit suggests that additional estuaries could support mangroves. Understanding regional drivers is necessary to inform global-scale estimates for how this important ecosystem is predicted to respond to climate change.enClimate changeBiodiversityConservationSouth AfricaAvicennia marinaArticle